World Cup 2018 - SWEDEN I Betting Tips, Odds* and Prognosis
Sweden will be stepping back into the spotlight for the 2018 World Cup. In World Cup Group F, the Scandinavians will meet the teams from Germany, Mexico and South Korea, and, with that in mind, have reasonable chances of making it out of the group phase. We would like to present to you the most promising bets focused on Sweden, including an analysis of their squad as well as a description of their history during qualifying.
Content on this page
- World Cup tips and prognosis
- Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Sweden
- Roster analysis
- Qualification and form check
- Previous final round participations
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- 18.06.2018 | 13:00 | Sweden - South Korea
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 23.06.2018 | 19:00 | Sweden - Germany
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 27.06.2018 | 15:00 | Sweden - Mexico
- ODDS COMPARISON
What World Cup betting tips can we recommend with respect to Sweden?
As we mentioned in our introduction, Sweden is a hot candidate to make it into the round-of-16 at the 2018 World Cup. That said, bets on the Scandinavians finishing second in World Cup Group F behind reigning World Cup Champion Germany are recommended. If you do indeed bet on that order at the end of the group phase, current odds on that happening are approximately 3.30. If you bet on the third-place finisher in the 1994 World Cup moving forward in the competition, regardless of where they place in the group, you will still receive odds of approximately 2.40 If you prefer to take a risk, you can bet on the Northern Europeans finishing last in their group. In this case, you would receive approximately a 4-fold pay-off on your bet – varying, of course, on your bookmaker.
When betting on individual matches involving Sweden at the 2018 World Cup, it is important to bear in mind: with the exception of a defeat against world champion Germany, every result in Sweden’s group matches – be that a victory, defeat or a tie – is being quoted odds of over 2.00, which certainly suggests considering those preliminary matches involving the Andersson squad. Due to the balance between the teams from Sweden, Mexico and Korea, we recommend a double-chance bet as a safety net. We do not recommend long-term bets on Sweden, since it is fair to assume that, as a second-place finisher in Group F at the 2018 World Cup, they would probably then have to face a top opponent in the form of Brazil.
An interesting bet during Sweden’s group phase would be an over/under bet with respect to the number of points they would accumulate in the group matches. A bet on them garnering more than 3.5 points is quoted odds of 1.85, with the same odds being offered for a bet on less than 3.5 points. A bet on the exact number of points achieved by Sweden in Group F at the World Cup would be a risky, though no less interesting alternative. For fans of this kind of bet, we recommend betting on the Scandinavians collecting 2, 3, 4 or 6 points at the 2018 World Cup, though assume that they will suffer a defeat at the hands of Germany. The lowest odds for one of these points totals is currently 3.75 for one win and one draw in three group matches. If we assume that the Northern Europeans do progress beyond the group stage, we do expect, as we have said, that they will be eliminated in the round-of-16 against Brazil, which enters the race as the absolute top favorite in Group E.
The odds for Sweden being eliminated in the round-of-16 are currently 3.00. In general, we are rather critical of long-term bets on Sweden at the 2018 World Cup, even if the “Three Crowns” are, in our opinion, the number-two team in Group F. In order to reduce somewhat the risk of losing the aforementioned bet on elimination in the round-of-16, a bet on Sweden finishing third in their group might be considered as “insurance”. In this instance, current odds are being quoted at around 2.60. Because we simply cannot imagine them finishing in fourth place under any circumstances, you would in all likelihood earn money with a bet on a third-place finish and an additional bet on elimination in the round-of-16.
Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Sweden
- In the game against Mexico: Under 2.5 goals overall
- To gain over 3.5 points in Group F
- To reach 2nd place in Group F
What squad will Sweden send to the 2018 World Cup?
Here, as in several cases, the Swedish roster for the 2018 World Cup will be announced only shortly before the start of the tournament. However, one thing we can fairly predict: If anyone continues to believe that the “Three Crowns” are only half the team they were with Zlatan Ibrahimovic, they couldn’t be more wrong. Looking at the Scandinavian personnel, we see a good mixture of young and established players, which we now wish to examine part by part. In goal, the Swedes do not necessarily boast a world-class star, but they certainly have nothing to complain about in goalies including Kristofer Nordfeldt, Robin Olsen and Karl-Johan Johnsson. Copenhagen keeper Olson currently has a slight advantage.
The exceptionally good blend we mentioned is certainly evident in Sweden’s defensive ranks. At center back, next to established captain and team leader Granquist, in Victor Lindelöf we see a rising talent who, in his debut season at Manchester United, pulled off some very promising performances. On the outside, too, with Ludwig Augustinsson on the left and Mikael Lustig on the right, they are able to field both an experienced as well as a promising star, both of whom represent true goal-scoring threats, creating overlaps and added dynamism on the wings. Here, we should not forget the team’s back-up options including Oscar Wendt (Gladbach) and Martin Olsson (Norwich), who certainly provide alternatives for the Swedes at the 2018 World Cup.
The bundled strength of the Scandinavians is also revealed in the defense and central midfield, where Sweden will be able to place its trust in highly promising players such as Sebastian Larsson (Sunderland), Albin Ekdal (HSV) and Oscar Hiljemark (Palermo). On the wings, they have available to them a player such as Emil Forsberg, who was one of the assist leaders in the German Bundesliga during the 2016/2017 campaign and is the focus of numerous top clubs. Though Victor Claesson is currently deployed on the right side by Kuban Krasnodar, these players could be used at different midfield positions. Up front, team trainer Andersson will undoubtedly go with established players, using Ola Toivonen and Marcus Berg to spearhead his favored classic 4-4-2 formation, unless he is forced to change these plans due to injuries.
However, with John Guidetti of Alavés, he also has a strong alternative available to him. For the much-heralded super talent Alexander Isak of Borussia Dortmund, however, the 2018 World Cup has probably come just a little too soon.
How did Sweden perform during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup in Russia?
World Cup qualifying for 2018 was very promising for Sweden from the very beginning. Even though they entered competition in Group A as the clear number-three. In their first match, they surprised many with a 1:1 against the Netherlands, followed by victories against the underdogs from Luxembourg (1:0) and Bulgaria (3:0). Sweden showed its potential against group favorite France, though losing in Paris with a score of 1:2. After their disappointing performance in the 2016 European Championships and the retirement of superstar Zlatan Ibrahimovic, they were able to teach all of those critics a lesson who had claimed that, in the absence of this veteran player, they were incapable of scoring many goals, hitting the back of the net at least one time in each of their first four matches during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup in Russia.
In fact, they managed to do so in a total of 9 of their 10 group matches, with their 0:2 in the final match against the Netherlands was the only time that the Swedes did not score a goal. In all other qualifying matches of that year, they scored at least two goals, an indicator that bets on the Swedes scoring goals in all three group matches are possible and quite promising, likely to produce particularly good odds in the duel against Germany. Overall, we see very good players in all phases of the Scandinavian game. The Italians were forced to recognize that the Swedes’ defense is one of the most stable in Europe, shut out by the Swedes 1:0 in a home game in the World Cup playoffs. That said, we can see that Andersson’s men have nothing to be afraid of, even when going up against the biggest names in international soccer. However, we have to say, we see their greater strength towards the front.
During qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, in Group A the Swedes fielded by far the best attack, scored on average over 2.5 goals per match and totaled in 10 matches an excellent 26 goals. In comparison: France (18) and the Netherlands (21) lagged far behind. By the end of the qualifying campaign, Marcus Berg was one of the top-10 goal scorers in UEFA qualifying. You will find further details in our analysis of the Swedish World Cup squad below. If the Swedish attack maintains its form, you might wish to consider a bet on the number of goals they score during the group phase, betting on them netting four or more. In this regard, the odds are currently being quoted at 2.20.
How has Sweden performed at previous World Cup finals prior to Russia?
Even before the World Cup in Russia, Sweden had managed to accumulate a lot of experience at major tournaments. They enjoyed their greatest success, as mentioned, when they took third place in the 1994 finals in the USA, while we should also not forget their successes in the 1940s and 1950s, when they were able, for example, to win a gold medal at the London Olympics. However: Since 2006, Sweden has not been mentioned in the same breath as the World Cup elite, eliminated in that year in the round-of-16 by Germany. Their World Cup campaign also ended in the round-of-16 during the tournament in Japan and South Korea, where they were surprisingly defeated by Senegal.
An indicator which further underscores our suggested bet on them being eliminated in the round-of-16. They certainly performed better in the finals of the European Championships. Since the year 2000, they have been represented at every European Championship, even reaching the quarterfinals in 2004. At subsequent tournaments, however, their road came to an end after the group phase, a fate which Sweden certainly wishes to avoid at the 2018 World Cup in Russia 2018.
*All odds: status 14.02.2018