World Cup 2018 - GERMANY I Betting Tips, Odds* and Prognosis
Germany and the 2018 World Cup – will this be a continuation of the love story? One thing is quite clear: The Central Europeans remain the number one football nation on the planet, with Germany amongst a small, elite group of favorites to win the tournament. In our preview, we suggest lucrative and attractive betting tips on the performance of the defending champion, while we also analyze their squad and their record during qualifying.
Content on this page
- World Cup tips and prognosis
- Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Germany
- Roster analysis
- Qualification and form check
- Previous final round participations
- 17.06.2018 | 16:00 | Germany - Mexico
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 23.06.2018 | 19:00 | Germany - Sweden
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 27.06.2018 | 15:00 | Germany - South Korea
- ODDS COMPARISON
What betting tips do we recommend with regards to Germany at the 2018 World Cup?
When it comes to betting on Germany, we should say one thing very clearly upfront: we would advise against betting on them winning individual matches. As just one example, let us take a look at the odds quoted by Williamhill: for a bet on Germany winning their World Cup match against Mexico, the odds are still relatively attractive at 1.50, though these are the highest you will receive for a win by the world champions during the group phase. So, what alternatives are there? Our recommendations focus far more on over/under bets on Germany’s matches at the World Cup. In the confrontation with Sweden, for example, if you bet on them scoring more than 2.5 goals, Williamhill will quote you odds of 1.80. Particularly interesting in the case of the world champions are so-called “handicap bets”: if you give the Central Europeans a 0:1 handicap going into the match against Mexico, you will receive odds of 2.35.
However, because Germany enters the race as one of the top favorites to take home the title, we would prefer to recommend special or long-term bets: For the defending champion to score more than 5.5 goals during the group phase is quoted by Tipico at 5.5. Yet another bet might be on Germany winning three matches, with this particular bookmaker offering appealing odds for such an eventuality of 2.7. Other interesting betting opportunities can be found if you look beyond the first three matches in the tournament. A bet on Germany being eliminated in the semifinals – as was the case at the 2016 European Championships – at the 2018 World Cup receives odds of 4.6. We are less likely to recommend a bet on Germany winning the World Cup, with Löw’s team representing the worst value at Tipico with 5.5. British betting provider Bethard, however, does quote odds of 5.75. Regardless of this, we certainly recommend betting on the defending champion being the best team from the continent. Though Germany is quoted the lowest odds for Europe, at 3.50 they are still appealing.
On the other hand, we would not recommend a bet on, for example, the top goal scorer or on a German becoming the top goal scorer at the 2018 World Cup. Precisely why that is, is something we wish to explain further in our analysis of Germany’s history during qualifying.
Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Germany
- To win all 3 group matches
- To score over 5.5 goals in the group stage
- To win against South Korea and Mexico with Handicap -1
What squad will Germany be fielding to start the 2018 World Cup?
Germany’s 2018 World Cup roster is certain to keep the tongues of football experts from around the world wagging yet again and will also be good for a number of attractive betting tips. The repertoire of top-class international players with which the defending champions go into the 2018 World Cup finals is undoubtedly greater than any other team. If we take a quick look at the squad which he fielded in the final of the Confed Cup, we clearly see that Joachim Löw is spoiled for choices. Even just two years ago, players such as Goretzka, Kimmich and Werner had no role on the national team, but now they represent serious competition for the established players.
The fact is: the blend they have is just right! Veterans like Neuer, Boateng, Hummels and Özil are joined by aspiring talents, who show what they can do week in and week out in one of the world’s best leagues, and are serious options for Germany’s 2018 World Cup squad. We see double or triple options at all positions on the German team going into the tournament in Russia. We also believe it is very possible that the Germans will produce the “Man of the Tournament”, a fact which is definitely a bet worth considering at the 2018 World Cup. At Betvictor, for example, Thomas Müller and Sandro Wagner are both being quoted odds of 26.00 for this bet, while Timo Werner is evaluated at 50.00. Müller, above all, is a hot longshot betting tip, already having taken home the “Golden Ball” back in 2010.
Even during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, the overall balance of the German squad was put on impressive display. They convince above all through their tempo, technique and aggressiveness. The central defenders are co-, if not primarily responsible for playmaking. In this regard, the Löw squad benefits from the fact that, in Hummels and Boateng, they have a duo that trains together week after week at Bayern Munich. The same goes for potential back-up, Niklas Süle. During qualifying, we were given a small foretaste of just how balanced and hard to predict the German offense will be for opponents during the 2018 World Cup. Although they proved to be the most dangerous team of all, scoring 43 goals, they did not have a single player in the list of top-10 goal scorers from UEFA qualifying, which speaks for the enormous range they have in the offensive department.
In that regard, we do not recommend bets that focus on goal scorers. The lowest odds quoted are at Interwetten on Timo Werner with 17.00, though we feel that he is still too young and inexperienced to win this title. In this context, we should also mention Goretzka, Stindl, Özil, Draxler, Sané, Götze, Wagner and Müller. With regards to most of those names, we can’t even be certain that they will take the field, while players like Wagner and Sané are not necessarily starters, being quoted odds for goal-scorer bets of over 50.00.
How did Germany perform during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup?
Germany left no doubt during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup that it fully intends to take home the trophy one more time. Particularly impressive was the dominance they showed in the preliminary round for the World Cup.
If we look at the group phase of qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, we immediately see that Germany, yet again, benefited from a relatively lucky draw. They went up against Northern Ireland, Czech Republic, Norway, Azerbaijan and San Marino, all teams who will not be represented at the 2018 World Cup. However: The way in which the German team performed during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup was still impressive. The fact is: Germany did not surrender a single point during qualifying for 2018 and was the only team to manage this feat.
The journey of the world champions began with a dominant 3:0 away victory against Norway, followed by yet another 3:0 against what was expected to be their toughest opponent, Czech. In the further course of qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, on four other occasions Germany did not give up a single goal, with their stand-out results being an 8:0 against football “minnows” San Marino as well as a 6:0 against the “Vikings” from Norway. In the face of such outstanding defensive performances, a bet on a “shut-out” win in one or other match can definitely be recommended. Strength: With a total of 43 goals in 10 matches, Germany is the most dangerous goal-scoring threat in Europe during the course of World Cup qualifying for 2018, with only the team from Belgium able to put up identical numbers. Statistically, teams such as Spain (36) and Portugal (32) lagged far behind.
Defensively, with four goals-against, Germany was on an equal footing with teams from Croatia and Portugal. That said, it is fair to comment that the team under Joachim Löw has the whole package when it comes to a balance between defensive and offensive power. Strength: In 8 of 10 matches during World Cup qualifying for 2018 Germany scored three or more goals. Based on that, we see the defending champion as an interesting option for over/under bets during World Cup 2018. One of their successes, in addition to World Cup qualifying, was Germany’s triumph in the 2017 Confed Cup, which, as usual, proved an excellent dress rehearsal for the 2018 World Cup.
What were Germany’s results in previous World Cups?
Foremost, of course, we should note the World Cup title they won in 2014 in Brazil, which they would definitely like to repeat at the 2018 World Cup in Russia. The fact is, Germany has been represented at every major football tournament since the first World Cup in 1930. Four times – in addition to 2014, also in the years 1990, 1974 and 1954 – the Germans have been able to hoist the trophy over their heads after the final whistle. By qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, they have made it to the finals 21 times in succession. Yet another interesting fact is that, in the last 12 years, Germany has at least made it to the semifinals at all major competitions. Something we ask you to bear in mind if you consider making a long-term bet, since we assume that the squad will at lmake it to the quarterfinals at a minimum.
*All odds: status 30.01.2018