World Cup 2018 - ENGLAND I Betting Tips, Odds* and Prognosis
England’s national football team has big plans for the 2018 World Cup and is looking to redeem itself. For the sixth time in succession, the Three Lions have managed to qualify for the World Cup finals. The country where football was born longs for a second World Cup title, with its first all the way back in 1966. However, according to the experts and betting providers, the English will probably have to wait at least another 4 years for success. In Group G, at this World Cup they will have to deal with Belgium, Tunisia as well as World Cup newcomer, Panama. All of this suggests an inner-European fight for the group title. Below, we present you with our England World Cup betting recommendations, lucrative betting strategies, and analysis of the squad as well as a predictions of how the Three Lions will perform.
Content on this page
- World Cup tips and prognosis
- Our Top 3 Betting Tips for England
- Roster analysis
- Qualification and form check
- Previous final round participations
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- 18.06.2018 | 19:00 | England - Tunisia
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 24.06.2018 | 13:00 | England - Panama
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 28.06.2018 | 19:00 | England - Belgium
- ODDS COMPARISON
What England betting tips do we recommend to you for the 2018 World Cup?
In its first match of the 2018 World Cup, England will meet the Tunisians. The bookmakers agree: a wager on an England victory is money in the bank. However, at Interwetten and many other bookies they are still offering sizable odds of 1.40. Success against Panama is also calculated by Interwetten at attractive odds of 1.30. We’re of the opinion that betting on 2 England victories at these odds is absolutely worthwhile. Against Belgium, however, England goes into the match as a slight outsider. Both in their direct duel in the third round of matches as well as in the match to determine the ultimate winner of World Cup Group G, the English have slightly higher odds. A wager on an English group victory at the 2018 World Cup is calculated at odds that range between 2.10 and 2.30.
The following betting strategy, one which you can pursue at Interwetten, appears to us to be particularly lucrative: assuming you expect that Belgium and England will prevail in the group phase, but you are unsure who will actually win the group outright. In this instance, it is possible for you to make 2 wagers: on the one hand, on ENG 1/BEL 2 at odds of 2.75, and on the other hand, on BEL 1/ ENG 2 at odds of 2.40. If you bet €10 on both outcomes, assuming both teams do indeed make it to the round-of-16, you will be assured of making € 4.
Each of England’s group matches at the 2018 World Cup lends itself to over /under bets of less than 3.5 or 2.5 goals. How come? During World Cup qualifying, after 10 matches England’s goal-scoring ratio was 18:3. The Three Lions are under immense pressure – we assume that the English will begin the 2018 World Cup cautiously and that they will tend to score fewer goals in their first matches.
What lucrative long-term wagers were we able to find with respect to England at the 2018 World Cup? For a wager on them winning the World Cup, we generally find odds ranging from 18.00 to 20.00. For our part, we find this to be improbable and assume they will likely make it to the round-of-16 – and to the quarterfinals at best. At Bethard, a wager on England being eliminated in the round-of-16 at the 2018 World Cup is being quoted attractive odds of 3.00. This same betting provider offers odds of 3.25 for them to lose in the quarterfinals. Once again, we recommend a betting strategy that would involve betting on both outcomes: assuming England will be eliminated at the 2018 World Cup either in the round-of-16 or quarterfinals, if you make a € 10 wager on both of these possibilities, you are certain of a minimum return on your investment of € 10, which is why we strongly recommend this particular wager regarding England at the World Cup.
England, in particular, is very much a grab bag at World Cup tournaments and often fails to live up to expectations. This is why, in addition to wagers on how the team as a whole performs, we also suggest betting on the performance of individual players, for example goal-scoring. If Harry Kane should become the tournament’s top goal scorer, a wager to that effect with bookmaker 888sport will generate an 18-fold return. The bookie also offers an interesting head-to-head wager on goal-scoring. In a virtual duel against Romelu Lukaku, the odds of Harry Kane scoring more goals are being quoted at 1.60. The odds for the Belgian coming out on top are currently 2.20. Similarly interesting and lucrative would be a wager on the top goal scorer within the English team itself at this 2018 World Cup: for the absolute favorite Harry Kane, bookmaker Bethard is offering odds of just over 2.00, while the odds for his closest pursuers, Delle Alli and Jamie Vardy, are 9.00 and 12.00 respectively.
Our Top 3 Betting Tips for England
- Betting strategy: 2 single bets on
- 1. ENG / 2. BEL
- 1. BEL / 2. ENG
- Betting strategy: 2 single bets on
- to be eliminated in the round of the last 16
- to be eliminated in the quarterfinals
- Harry Kane to be the internal topscorer
What is the make-up of England’s 2018 World Cup squad?
For trainer Gareth Southgate, who took over the Three Lions after the chaos which surrounded Sam Allardyce, this is the first major event where he will have to prove himself. During their successful qualifying campaign for the 2018 World Cup, he made some moderate changes to personnel as well as the overall team chemistry. Above all, a number of young players have made their England debut, which is not too surprising considering Southgate’s previous activities as England’s U21 coach.
If we take a closer look at the current squad and begin at the goalie position, we see that it is still a work in progress. Now as before, it is far from certain who will start in goal for England at the first match in the 2018 World Cup against Tunisia. Joe Hart has been demoted to benchwarmer for West Ham – and has long been a question mark in the minds of the experts. Nevertheless, he is still regarded as the favorite at the goalkeeper position. Other options would be Jordan Pickford (Everton) and Jack Butland (Stoke).
Defensively, the defenders on the wings clearly outshine those on the inside. On the right, Kyle Walker (Man City) will likely be given the nod over Kieran Trippier (Tottenham). In both cases, England boasts offensively strong players with excellent speed on the wings. On the left, Danny Rose (Tottenham) and Ryan Bertrand (Southampton) will be battling it out for the starting spot. As for the interior defense, Gary Cahill (Chelsea) has now become questionable – he is clearly past his prime. John Stones, in contrast, in his second season at Man City, cuts a much better figure than he did even just a year ago. Together with Manchester United duo Chris Smalling and Phil Jones, this quartet will likely be fixtures on the starting squad at the 2018 World Cup.
At midfield, England now misses its high-quality stars of the past such as Frank Lampard, Steven Gerrard and Paul Scholes. Jordan Henderson (Liverpool), Eric Dier (Tottenham) and Jake Livermore (West Brom) may all well be solid football players – that said, none of them have shown that they have what it takes to take the reins of important matches and to leave their stamp on a major event such as the World Cup. In the offensive midfield, on the other hand, the English boast a number of young, ambitious and dynamic players: Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain (Liverpool), Jesse Lingard, Marcus Rashford (both of Man Utd) as well as the constant goal-scoring threat Raheem Sterling (Man City) are all true powerhouses. Their forwards include, of course, Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur, on whose shoulders England’s hopes for the 2018 World Cup clearly rest. His primary back-up will likely be Jamie Vardy (Leicester City).
What was England’s path to qualifying for the 2018 World Cup?
During qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, England lived up to its role as favorites. In fact, Gareth Southgate’s men gave up only four points in their qualifying matches. Undefeated, they were never seriously challenged in their group. Eight wins and two draws – in both instances, away, against Slovenia and Scotland – this was the final balance for the Three Lions. On paper, this looks far more dominant than it was in reality. Often, the English were not particularly convincing, as evidenced by their meager 2:0 home victory over football minnows Malta, as well as two tight home wins against Slovakia and Slovenia. Likewise, in a 0:1 victory in Lithuania, England’s performance was modest at best. They scored 18 goals in 10 matches – not very much in a group as easy as this. However, their defense was rock-solid: The Three Lions only allowed three goals-against – though we should mention, none of their group opponents had a top attacker in their ranks. The most successful goal scorer for the English was Harry Kane with five goals, although he actually only played in six of the qualifying matches for the 2018 World Cup.
What conclusions can we draw for 2018 based on England’s previous World Cup performances?
At its home World Cup in 1966, England celebrated its one-and-only World Cup title with the help of its now-infamous goal. Since then, they only managed to make it to the semifinals once, in 1990. They were eliminated at three World Cups in penalties – needless to say, nothing is feared on the island as much as one of those make-or-break shoot-outs after 120 minutes. In their last two appearances at the penalty spot, at the World Cup in 1998 and 2006, the English were eliminated. At the World Cup in South Africa in 2010, they succumbed to nemesis Germany in the round-of-16. The 1:4 defeat was actually the worst World Cup performance by the Three Lions to-date. At the last World Cup in Brazil in 2014, they didn’t make it out of the group phase – the first time this had occurred for England in 56 years. No wonder, then, that the entire country expects the Three Lions to make up for this disgrace at the upcoming 2018 World Cup.
*All odds: status 08.02.2018