World Cup 2018 - COLOMBIA I Betting Tips, Odds* and Prognosis
Colombia can rightly harbor hopes of pulling off yet another surprise at the 2018 World Cup. Their aim is to pick up where they left off with their successes of four years ago, when they achieved their best results at the World Cup finals to-date by sensationally qualifying for the quarterfinals. For the 2018 World Cup, Colombia has been drawn against group opponents Japan, Senegal and Poland. That said, the South Americans will have to deal with competition in Group H that is very much on an equal footing with them. Most experts and betting providers see the Colombians as slight favorites and believe they are capable of making it at least into the round-of-16 at the 2018 World Cup. We are similarly optimistic and wish to share with you below our World Cup betting tips focused on Colombia, all of the relevant odds as well as our predictions for how the tournament will play out for them. We will also take a close look at the squad as well as the exciting journey “Los Cafeteros” took on the path to qualifying.
Content on this page
- World Cup tips and prognosis
- Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Colombia
- Roster analysis
- Qualification and form check
- Previous final round participations
- 19.06.2018 | 13:00 | Colombia - Japan
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 24.06.2018 | 19:00 | Colombia - Poland
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 28.06.2018 | 15:00 | Colombia - Senegal
- ODDS COMPARISON
What tips do we have for you when betting on Colombia at the 2018 World Cup?
We expect a thoroughly balanced set of matches for Colombia and their group opponents during the preliminary round of the 2018 World Cup. In their first match against Japan, we would certainly suggest betting on a Colombian victory. For such a result, the odds range from 1.90 to 2.00. Other than that, for any bets on Group H we suggest waiting until the conclusion of the first round of matches – in this group, truly anything is possible.
Now, let us take a look at a few interesting long-term bets on Colombia’s performance: Odds for them to move on, as expected, to the round-of-16 are likely to be, in a best-case scenario, around 1.50. For Colombia to actually live up to their role as favorites and decide the group for themselves, odds are currently being quoted at as much as 2.40. An indication of how difficult it is to predict how well Colombia will perform at the 2018 World Cup are the similar odds being quoted for the South Americans to be eliminated in the group phase, in the round-of-16 or the quarterfinals. For “Los Cafeteros” to actually fall short and be eliminated in the preliminary round, the odds range from 3.00 to 3.20. Bookmakers are assuming that the most likely scenario is that Colombia will be eliminated in the round-of-16 at the 2018 World Cup. In this instance, a successful bet would produce 2.5-fold winnings. A loss in the quarterfinals, yet again, is currently being quoted at around 4.75.
We see a bet on Colombia becoming the best South American team as particularly lucrative. Bethard is giving this bet quite considerable odds of 9.00. However, clear favorites for this “title” are the teams from Brazil and Argentina.
Due to the difficulty of predicting how the tournament will go for Colombia, team-specific bets represent an outstanding alternative. At BetVictor, for example, you can bet on who will be the team’s best goal scorer. For James Rodriguez, winner of the Golden Boot at the World Cup four years ago, and attacker Carloss Bacca the odds are 3.75, while a bet on the established star, though always susceptible to injury, Radamel Falcao is greeted by comparatively high odds of 6.00. A particularly interesting option would be a rather curious bet on the most goal assists in the tournament, which is possible at 888sport: through this bookie, you can place a head-to-head bet between James Rodriguez and Lionel Messi. For more assists by the Colombian, the odds are 1.90 – while the pay-off for the Argentinian is 1.8 times the original bet. Should James Rodriguez indeed establish himself as the assist king at the 2018 World Cup, a corresponding bet at 888sport would result in a 26-fold pay-off.
Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Colombia
- To qualify for the round of the last 16
- To win against Japan
- James Rodriguez to be the best internal topscorer
What squad will Colombia be bringing to the 2018 World Cup?
At the 2018 World Cup, and is customary of South American teams, the Colombians will certainly be one of the technically most skilled teams in the tournament. Before focusing on the exquisite offensive technicians, we will begin our analysis of the roster with the goalie position. Standing between the posts will be Colombian David Ospina (Arsenal), though he is the clear backup on his club side behind Petr Cech.
As a central defender, the young Davinson Sanchez (Tottenham Hotspur) has clearly established himself as the defensive leader. The second position at center back is fiercely contested, though during qualifying the more experienced Cristian Zapata (AC Milan) was ahead by a nose. The outside defender positions appear to be set, with Santiago Arias (PSV Eindhoven) on the right and Frank Fabra (Boca Juniors) on the left. They convinced with the constant quality of their performances during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup.
The central defensive midfield is generally regarded as a weak point for this team. Carlos Sanchez (Espanyol Barcelona), who is now somewhat long in the tooth, still pulls the strings here and generally puts up solid performances. Surprisingly, the younger Wilmar Barrios (Boca Juniors) only enjoys minimal respect from trainer Jose Nestor Pekerman and generally plays the role of benchwarmer. Whatever the case, a high-quality star at this position will certainly be missed by “Los Cafeteros” at the 2018 World Cup. The two undisputed stars in midfield are, of course, on the one hand James Rodriguez (Bayern Munich), who wears number 10 on his shirt for the national team, and on the other, Juan Cuadrado (Juventus Turin), who, as a whirlwind and master dribbler, prefers to work his magic on the right side of the attack. After nagging injuries, he has finally managed to make up for the lack of match practice.
At center forward, Colombia is truly spoilt for choices. The ranks of the South Americans include three more-than-acceptable centers – though there is only room for one of them in the 4-2-3-1 system preferred by trainer Pekerman. Aside from injury-prone Radamel Falcao (AS Monaco), battling it out for a job on the starting eleven will be the likewise experienced Carlos Bacca (FC Villarreal) as well as the up-and-coming Duvan Zapata (Sampdoria Genoa). Pekerman is a skilled trainer to say the least, having held the reins for this team since January 2012 and justifiably praised by the Colombian media since his big success back in 2014.
How did things go for Colombia during qualifying for the 2018 World Cup?
Colombia managed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup by a hair and made the race far more exciting than many had initially thought likely. After 18 matches, “Los Cafeteros” had notched 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats – with a very balanced goal differential of 21:19. Though they actually conceded the third fewest goals, they disappointed offensively on multiple occasions. Only 1.17 goals per match was far below the high expectations of the Colombians. The long lay-off of Radamel Falcao in autumn 2017 had noticeable consequences. Once again, James Rodriguez stepped to the fore as the most successful goal scorer, with 6 tallies to his name.
Ultimately, Colombia managed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup by a hair’s breadth against Peru, which qualified in the Intercontinental Playoff against New Zealand, and Chile, finishing just one point ahead of both of these national teams. For Colombia, the path to the 2018 World Cup was a real nail-biter until the very last day of play, when they managed a 1:1 draw in Peru and thus qualified for World Cup participation. They also benefited from Chile’s defeat against Brazil, who had already qualified. This made their disappointing results such as the 0:0 in Venezuela and the 1:2 defeat against Paraguay inconsequential. At the 2018 World Cup, the Colombians will absolutely have to improve their on-field performance in order to assert themselves in the group phase.
What success have the Colombians had in previous World Cups?
For Colombia, the 2018 World Cup will represent their fifth participation in the finals. Their best performance so far was an appearance in the quarterfinals in 2014, when they lost to host nation Brazil. Colombia made its World Cup debut in 1962, when they did not make it out of the first round. After this, after a lengthy drought, they qualified three times in a row in 1990, 1994 and 1998. In 1990, the Colombians were able to make it into the round-of-16, though after that, the tournament was over for them after the first round. After missing out on the World Cup finals in 2002 and 2010, “Los Cafeteros” celebrated a glorious comeback in 2014. They now look to repeat that performance at the 2018 World Cup. The prospects for them advancing to the round-of-16 are definitely positive. On their path to the quarterfinals, they will likely have to eliminate either England or Belgium. This might be a difficult task indeed – potentially too difficult.
*All odds: status 20.02.2018