Betting tip World Cup 2018: Peru - Denmark
Saturday, 16.06.2018 at 18:00 o’clock (CET)
Denmark looks to lay the foundation to move on to the next round
In Denmark, we get to watch a highly intriguing squad get their World Cup 2018 campaign underway this coming Saturday. The men from Scandinavia will go up against Peru in a key match-up right at the start of the tournament. In our World Cup betting tips, as usual we provide you with all of the most important information about both teams. Kickoff for this match is at 5 PM on June 16.
- dynamic approach to the game
- unbeaten in 15 (!) international matches
- strong in set-piece situations
- personnel a little better
Current Form of Peru
Group C is likely to become a three-way battle for second place. Peru, as well as opponents Denmark and Australia all have chances of progressing to the next round. Peru is perhaps the most likely candidate to do so, especially based on their most recent results. In their warm-up matches against Scotland, Saudi Arabia and Sweden, they performed very well. Against Sweden, another Scandinavian team, they managed a 0:0 draw, accompanied by a clear win over Saudi Arabia (3:0) and nothing to complain about against Scotland either (2:0). That said, Ricardo Gareca’s team has gone 3 matches and over 270 minutes without conceding a goal. Overall, in none of the 5 international friendlies they have contested in 2018 have they suffered a loss, and in fact, they have managed to celebrate 4 wins. Actually, that 0:0 against Sweden was the first point they dropped (theoretically) in this calendar year. In their victory against Saudi Arabia, Peru was enormously efficient, cashing in on 50% of their goal opportunities. Adding to that, the Group A participants only managed one shot on goal in 90 minutes. However, when we compare the Peruvian squad with Denmark, they clearly have ground to make up. As individuals, they certainly don’t show the same quality as their opponents. That said, the fact that they are not exactly a “pleasant” opponent is obvious if we look at the recent past. Not only have they been unbeaten in 2018, they have actually not lost a single international match since November 16, 2016 – in other words, over the course of a year and a half. This represents a string of 15 matches without a loss. One of Peru’s strengths, in our view, is on the defensive side, especially since coach Gareca took over the squad. During the 10 matches they played in 2017, they only gave up 7 goals. The main reason for this is the fact that their Argentinian trainer will be fielding a young team he has infected with a dynamic and courageous approach to the game. Because of this, they are not constantly bogged down playing defense, something that was the case in recent years. As for scoring goals, they are likely to be reliant on their veteran star Paolo Guerrero. The 34-year-old clearly demonstrated his strong form most recently with 2 goals against Saudi Arabia. Similarly, Premier League player Carrillo (Watford) has the potential to be a real weapon with his dynamism on the right-hand side, whereas coach Gareca will likely be relying on Feyernoord star Tapia to shape the flow of their attack. The fact that they can go head-to-head with physically tougher teams was shown in a 3:1 win against Iceland in March 2018. And in the same month, they chalked up a victory over Croatia, one of the top European teams, with a score of 2:0.
Current Form of Denmark
In our mind, Denmark is the hottest contender for a second-place finish in Group C behind France. And in fact, with a little bit of luck they might even prove somewhat of an irritation for “Les Bleus”, too. The fact that Saturday has the potential to be a very balanced match is also suggested by the Danes’ performance just a few days ago in a friendly against Sweden, which ended, as was the case with their opponent from Peru, in a 0:0 draw. Prior to that, they also managed a goalless tie against Chile, one of the big-name absentees from this year’s World Cup finals, while their final dress rehearsal against a strong Mexican team brought them an impressive 2:0 victory. As we said, we feel that the Danes are able to field a somewhat better squad. While most of the Peruvian national team make a living in the thoroughly strong Mexican league, the level of competition in which the majority of Danish players participate is just that little bit higher. The fact is: The Danes, too, haven’t conceded a single goal in their last 4 matches, giving them a clean slate in 2018. Physically, the Scandinavians match up well against their first opponents. One of the strengths of Norwegian trainer Age Hareide’s team is undoubtedly in set-piece situations. Central defenders Kjaer and Christensen are always good for a goal or two. In addition, in Christian Eriksen they boast a player who is a clear free-kick threat. Furthermore, central midfielder Thomas Delaney has enormous goal-scoring potential, whilst also able to shore up any defensive gaps. On the other hand, Leipzig striker Yussuf Poulsen is quite capable of exploiting holes in the opposing defense and thus create space for his teammates. As a consequence, we see one of the major strengths of the Danish team in their play down the wings, where we find Pione Sisto, one of the very best set-up men during the recently concluded La Liga season in Spain. We see an additional advantage over Peru at the goalkeeper position, where they draw on the expertise of Kasper Schmeichel, a goalie who has proven himself in the Premier League. The same goes for substitute Jonas Lössl. Overall, we see Denmark as a very strong team, not only physically but also in their playing abilities, making them very hard for their opponents to predict. We do feel that the Hareide squad has slight vulnerabilities, especially at right and left back, where they had a true battle on their hands against Mexico, for example. A strength: In that particular match, the Scandinavians proved enormously efficient. Despite only 44% ball possession and 3 shots on goal in 90 minutes, they still managed a 2:0-victory.
Prediction and Betting Tip
Even though both teams are enormously stable defensively, we feel that both Peru and Denmark are likely to score a goal in this opening match. A fact that should be taken into account when considering your bets. Based on that, our betting tip is: both teams to score – yes.
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